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Authors: Chen Yue, Reeves Geoffrey D, Fu Xiangrong, and Henderson Michael
Title: PreMevE: New Predictive Model for Megaelectron-volt Electrons inside Earth's Outer Radiation Belt
Abstract: This work designs a new model called PreMevE to predict storm‐time distributions of relativistic electrons within Earth's outer radiation belt. This model takes advantage of the cross‐energy, ‐L‐shell, and –pitch‐angle coherence associated with wave‐electron resonant interactions, ingests observations from belt boundaries—mainly by NOAA POES in low‐Earth‐orbits (LEOs), and provides high‐fidelity nowcast (multiple‐hour prediction) and forecast (> ~1 day) of MeV electron fluxes over L‐shells between 2.8‐7 through linear prediction filters. PreMevE can not only reliably anticipate incoming enhancements of MeV electrons during storms with at least 1‐day forewarning time, but also accurately specify the evolving event‐specific electron spatial distributions after. . .
Date: 02/2019 Publisher: Space Weather DOI: 10.1029/2018SW002095 Available at:
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