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Simulation of high-energy radiation belt electron fluxes using NARMAX-VERB coupled codes

This study presents a fusion of data-driven and physics-driven methodologies of energetic electron flux forecasting in the outer radiation belt. Data-driven NARMAX (Nonlinear AutoRegressive Moving Averages with eXogenous inputs) model predictions for geosynchronous orbit fluxes have been used as an outer boundary condition to drive the physics-based Versatile Electron Radiation Belt (VERB) code, to simulate energetic electron fluxes in the outer radiation belt environment. The coupled system has been tested for three extende ...

Pakhotin, I.; . Y. Drozdov, A; . Y. Shprits, Y; Boynton, R.; Subbotin, D.; Balikhin, M.;

YEAR: 2014     DOI: 10.1002/2014JA020238

Radiation belts; Space weather